QJ League x AI: Karaganda, Shymkent, Taraz – where will the Freedom QJ League silver and bronze medals go?

The QJ League team decided to put this question to artificial intelligence and find out what are the chances of teams finishing second, third and fourth?

 

First of all, we introduced the AI to the teams' remaining matches and gave it the opportunity to analyse the probability of the outcomes of these games. The analysis was based on the following factors: team form, opponent difficulty (based on the opponent's form), and the home and away match factor.

 

1) Shakhtyor vs Astana (Matchday XXI, 20.10.2024):  
Shakhtyor win – 65%
Draw – 25%
Shakhtyor's defeat – 10%

 

2) Zhas Kyran vs Taraz (Matchday XXI, 20.10.2024): 
Taraz win – 80%
Draw – 10%
Taraz's defeat – 10%

 

3) Tobol vs Ordabasy (Matchday XXI, 20.10.2024):
Ordabasy win – 55%
Draw – 25%
Ordabasy's defeat – 20%

 

4) Taraz vs Shakhtyor (Matchday XXII, 27.10.2024):
Taraz win – 38.3%
Draw – 33.3%
Shakhtyor win – 28.3%

 

5) Ordabasy vs Zhas Kyran (Matchday XXII, 27.10.2024): 
Ordabasy win – 90%
Draw – 10%
Ordabasy's defeat – 0%

 

The most equal in the analysis was the face-to-face confrontation of the contenders for prizes in the last round, for sure, this match will decide the outcome of the confrontation. AI gave Ordabasy the most chances to win in the match against Zhas Kyran – 90%. 

 

In the aggregate, everything speaks for the victory of Ordabasy: home stands, good form of Shymkent and regression in the game Almaty, which won only 1 victory in the last 5 matches, with 4 defeats.

 

Based on these factors, AI has given a percentage analysis in which it has described the likelihood of each team finishing in 2nd, 3rd and 4th place:

 

Ordabasy

– 2nd place: 57.4%

– 3rd place: 28.4%

– 4th place: 14.2%

 

Shakhtyor

– 2nd place: 26.9%

– 3rd place: 43.9%

– 4th place: 29.2%

 

Taraz

– 2nd place: 15.3%

– 3rd place: 36.3%

– 4th place: 48.4%

 

Despite the fact that the main pursuer of Kairat throughout the season was Shakhtyor, AI gives the most chances for 2nd place is Ordabasy. Here is how AI argues its choice: 

 

– Ordabasy is the most likely contender for the 2nd place with a probability of 57.6% due to the high probability of wins in the remaining matches.

 

– Shakhtyor is likely to take 3rd place with a 46% probability, but has a chance of 2nd place (21%) if Ordabasy loses points.

 

– Taraz is most likely to take 4th place (49.3%), but also has chances for 3rd (37%) and even 2nd place (13.7%) under favourable circumstances.

 

AI technology has become an integral part of the lives of analysts, editors and prognosticators in a fairly short period of time. The QJ League team keeps up with the times and does not shy away from using such a tool.

 

Three teams, five matches and only two sets of medals – who will be the coveted silver medal winner, who will have to settle for bronze, and who will be left to watch someone else's triumph? Follow the QJ League matches and find out the outcome of the most tense story of the end of the championship!